Federal election 2019: Betting odds in every Queensland seat
Saturday’s federal election has captured the betting public’s attention, with Queensland punters splurging a record amount. CHECK THE ODDS
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SATURDAY’S federal election has captured the betting public’s attention, with Queensland punters spending a record amount on the historic poll.
And while you may not be one for a flutter, bookmaker odds can be a more accurate election compass in some seats (but remember, not always) than pollsters and their data.
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Major betting agencies still have Labor as the favourite to win the May 18 election. Sportsbet has Labor taking of 82 of 151 seats across Australia with the Coalition on 63, while Ladbrokes has Labor winning 87 seats and the Coalition, 59. A party requires the magic number of 76 seats to form a majority government.
Sportsbet communications manager Richard Hummerston said a late rush of individual bets between about $1000 and $4000 are being placed on many Queensland seats this week.
“Peter Dutton’s marginal Brisbane electorate of Dickson is the most popular with punters, but the largest individual bets are on two other Queensland seats, Mr Hummerston said.
Herbert in far north Queensland, Blair which includes Ipswich, the multicultural southern Brisbane seat of Moreton and Kennedy in the state’s northern outback have been other big-ticket seats, with the largest individual bets being placed on Moreton and Blair, he said.
Polls consistently indicating a change of government and enormous publicity around the election had buoyed betting with agencies.
“We have had more money come in on this federal election in Queensland and nationally than any other and that comes down to the public and media attention around it. The increase in betting interest goes hand-in-hand with those elements,” Mr Hummerston said.
About 70 per cent of Queensland money wagered was on Bill Shorten’s team, he said.
Ladbrokes has also had record election activity even on long shots such as Clive Palmer’s United Australia Party.
Betting agencies are already predicting they will be paying out millions of dollars next week with a Labor win beckoning and individual hauls up to $230,000 for some lucky punters.
2019 federal election odds
ALP: Sportsbet $1.25, Ladbrokes $1.16, TAB $1.20
Coalition: Sportsbet $3.85, Ladbrokes $5.00, TAB $4.75
HOW Queensland seats stack up
BLAIR
Labor 1.01
Coalition: 11.00
One Nation 21:00
Greens: 26.00
Independent: 31.00
United Australia Party: 41.00
Fraser Anning’s Conservative National Party 81.00
Democratic Labour Party 101.00
BONNER
Coalition 1.50
Labor 2.45
United Australia Party 31.00
Greens 41.00
One Nation 61.00
Fraser Anning’s Conservative National Party 71.00
BOWMAN
Coalition 1.15
Labor 4.75
Greens 26.00
One Nation 51.00
Fraser Anning’s Conservative National Party 81.00
United Australia Party 81.00
BRISBANE
Coalition 1.57
Labor 3.00
Greens 6.00
United Australia Party 31.00
Socialist Alliance 61.00
One Nation 81.00
Fraser Anning’s Conservative National Party 101.00
CAPRICORNIA
Coalition 1.85
Labor 1.85
One Nation 12.00
Independent 26.00
United Australia Party 31.00
Greens 41.00
Fraser Anning’s Conservative National Party 61.00
Katter’s Australian Party 61.00
DAWSON
Coalition 1.60
Labor 2.20
Katter’s Australian Party 8.00
One Nation 21.00
Greens 51.00
Independent 51.00
United Australia Party 71.00
Fraser Anning’s Conservative National Party 71.00
DICKSON
Labor 1.60
Coalition 2.10
Greens 31.00
One Nation 41.00
United Australia Party 51.00
Independent 81.00
Animal Justice Party 101.00
Fraser Anning’s Conservative National Party 101.00
FADDEN
Coalition 1.05
Labor 8.00
Greens 31.00
One Nation 41.00
United Australia Party 51.00
Liberal Democrats 61.00
Fraser Anning’s Conservative National Party 71.00
FAIRFAX
Coalition 1.01
Labor 11.00
United Australia Party 16.00
Greens 21.00
Independent 21.00
One Nation 41.00
Sustainable Australia 61.00
Fraser Anning’s Conservative National Party 81.00
Liberal Democrats 81.00
FISHER
Coalition 1.08
Labor 6.50
United Australia Party 18.00
One Nation 31.00
Greens 34.00
Fraser Anning’s Conservative National Party 81.00
Love Australia or Leave 151.00
FLYNN
Coalition 1.83
Labor 1.83
One Nation 14.00
Independent 18.00
Greens 21.00
United Australia Party 41.00
Fraser Anning’s Conservative National Party 61.00
FORDE
Labor 1.30
Coalition 3.20
United Australia Party 21.00
Greens 51.00
One Nation 51.00
Fraser Anning’s Conservative National Party 61.00
GRIFFITH
Labor 1.04
Greens 8.50
Coalition 21.00
United Australia Party 21.00
One Nation 61.00
Fraser Anning’s Conservative National Party 101.00
GROOM
Coalition 1.01
Labor 11.00
Conservative Nationals 12.00
One Nation: 14.00
United Australia Party: 21.00
Greens 61.00
HERBERT
Coalition 1.26
Labor 3.30
United Australia Party 21.00
Katter’s Australian Party 26.00
Greens 36.00
One Nation 51.00
Animal Justice Party 61.00
Fraser Anning’s Conservative National Party 71.00
HINKLER
Coalition 1.07
Labor 7.50
Independent 18.00
United Australia Party 31.00
One Nation 51.00
Greens 61.00
Fraser Anning’s Conservative National Party 71.00
Animal Justice Party 101.00
KENNEDY
Katter’s Australian Party 1.07
Coalition 6.00
Labor 10.00
Greens 41.00
United Australia Party 51.00
Fraser Anning’s Conservative National Party 61.00
LEICHHARDT
Coalition 1.36
Labor 2.75
Katter’s Australian Party 6.50
United Australia Party 21.00
Green 31.00
Independent 51.00
One Nation 61.00
Fraser Anning’s Conservative National Party 101.00
LILLEY
Labor 1.01
Coalition 11.00
Greens 21.00
United Australia Party 41.00
One Nation 61.00
Socialist Alliance 61.00
Fraser Anning’s Conservative National Party 81.00
LONGMAN
Labor 1.14
Coalition 5.00
United Australia Party 21.00
Greens 41.00
One Nation 51.00
Australian People’s Party 81.00
Australian Progressives 81.00
Fraser Anning’s Conservative National Party 101.00
MARANOA
Coalition 1.10
One Nation 5.00
Katter’s Australian Party 10.00
Labor 21.00
United Australia Party 26.00
Greens 41.00
Fraser Anning’s Conservative National Party 81.00
McPHERSON
Coalition 1.01
Labor 11.00
Green 21.00
Independent 21.00
United Australia Party 31.00
One Nation 51.00
Liberal Democrats 61.00
Animal Justice Party 71.00
Fraser Anning’s Conservative National Party 81.00
MONCRIEFF
Coalition 1.01
Labor 11.00
Greens 31.00
United Australia Party 31.00
Animal Justice Party 41.00
One Nation 51.00
Liberal Democrats 81.00
Fraser Anning’s Conservative National Party 101.00
MORETON
Labor 1.04
Coalition 8.05
United Australia Party 21.00
Greens 31.00
One Nation 31.00
Fraser Anning’s Conservative National Party 61.00
OXLEY
Labor 101.00
Coalition 11.00
Greens 18.00
One Nation 41.00
Socialist Equality Party 61.00
Fraser Anning’s Conservative National Party 71.00
PETRIE
Labor 1.66
Coalition 2.10
Greens 31.00
United Australia Party 41.00
One Nation 51.00
Fraser Anning’s Conservative National Party 61.00
RANKIN
Labor 1.01
Coalition 11.00
United Australia Party 16.00
Greens 21.00
One Nation 61.00
Fraser Anning’s Conservative National Party 101.00
RYAN
Coalition 1.18
Labor 4.00
Greens 7.00
United Australia Party 21.00
One Nation 51.00
Animal Justice Party 81.00
Fraser Anning’s Conservative National Party 10.00
WIDE BAY
Coalition 1.11
Labor 5.50
United Australia Party 18.00
Independent 26.00
One Nation 31.00
Greens 51.00
Fraser Anning’s Conservative National Party 81.00
WRIGHT
Coalition 1.08
Labor 6.50
Katter’s Australian Party 26.00
One Nation 36.00
United Australia Party 51.00
Greens 61.00
Independent 61.00
Fraser Anning’s Conservative National Party 101.00
* May 15 figures from Sportsbet
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