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Is the US heading for a recession? Watch the rich on Black Friday

Is the US heading for a recession? Watch the rich on Black Friday

The upper middle class powered a spending boom that kept the economy afloat, but there are increasing signs of a slowdown.

Leslie Patton

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Chicago | Richer Americans are curtailing their spending before Black Friday, a worrisome sign for an economy that has so far depended on the US consumer to stave off a recession.

In the three months before the all-important holiday shopping season, a group of retailers that caters to the upper middle class – including Apple, Coach and Nordstrom – had its biggest sales drop in two years, according to an exclusive analysis of Bloomberg Second Measure data, which is based on debit/credit card transactions from US consumers. The malaise also hit top-performing malls in wealthier areas, even as overall retail-sales figures march higher.

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Original URL: https://www.afr.com/world/north-america/is-the-us-heading-for-a-recession-watch-the-rich-on-black-friday-20231122-p5elwy