Chasing the ‘big mo’: An epic US election race starts in Iowa
The battle starts on January 15 and it’s shaping up as another epic contest between Joe Biden and Donald Trump. But anything could happen in this race.
For all the money and attention given to US presidential polls, they are stunningly inaccurate at this point in the campaign cycle.
Since World War II, polls this far out from election day miss the final result by an average of 11 points, according to pollster Five Thirty Eight. So what might seem reasonably clear now, may not be by the time the election rolls around on November 5.
Matthew CranstonUnited States correspondentMatthew Cranston is the United States correspondent, based in Washington. He was previously the Economics correspondent and Property editor. Connect with Matthew on Twitter. Email Matthew at mcranston@afr.com
