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David Hughes

What does Peter Dutton need to do to win

The challenge for the opposition leader is to fight different campaigns in affluent inner-city areas and in suburban middle Australia.

Two years ago, Anthony Albanese looked unbeatable. Headlines like “Albanese on track for a second term” reflected public sentiment. At the time, Labor’s primary vote was about 40 per cent. Today it hovers around 30 per cent.

While there is an enduring obsession in election campaigns to focus on who “won the week”, we can’t lose sight of the shift in momentum that has occurred over the last two years. The fact we are contemplating a possible victory for Peter Dutton is quite an achievement.

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David Hughes is the executive director of the Menzies Research Centre and previously advised three Australian prime ministers.

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    Original URL: https://www.afr.com/politics/federal/what-does-peter-dutton-need-to-do-to-win-20250328-p5ln9o