Early modelling of the COVID-19 outbreak shows NSW's COVID-19 reproduction rising rapidly, with the state at peril because of the higher potential risk of underlying community transmission.
Epidemiologist modellers at Melbourne University's Doherty Institute have made preliminary estimates the current NSW reproduction number has risen sharply over the last week to "well above one".
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Tom Burton has held senior editorial and publishing roles with The Mandarin, The Sydney Morning Herald and as Canberra bureau chief for The Australian Financial Review. He has won three Walkley awards. Connect with Tom on Twitter. Email Tom at tom.burton@afr.com
