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Infection rate falls below one, raising hopes virus is fading

Tom Burton
Tom BurtonGovernment editor

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One of the federal government's top advisers says the key measure of Australia's COVID-19 infection rate has fallen below 1 – the point at which the virus begins to fade.

Melbourne University mathematics professor James McCaw, a co-author of the Doherty Institute epidemiological modelling released last week, said his team had been making estimates of the effective reproduction rate – known as the "Reff" – about twice a week, and are looking to release a public version of the number.

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Tom Burton has held senior editorial and publishing roles with The Mandarin, The Sydney Morning Herald and as Canberra bureau chief for The Australian Financial Review. He has won three Walkley awards. Connect with Tom on Twitter. Email Tom at tom.burton@afr.com

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    Original URL: https://www.afr.com/politics/federal/infection-rate-falls-below-one-raising-hopes-virus-is-fading-20200413-p54jcl