Opinion
I predicted Brexit. Here’s why the Voice is destined to lose.
Winning and losing constitutional referendums is quite simple: if you are going to change the rule book, both sides of the game have to agree.
Matt QvortrupReferendum expert“But you are just a political scientist!” The then British prime minister was not particularly impressed by my statistical model three months before the 2016 referendum on Brexit.
I had written an academic article that said, statistically speaking, “the government would lose the referendum by four points”.
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