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Don’t count on a post-election sharemarket rally just yet

Goldman Sachs says the S&P 500 could climb another 7 per cent by end of the year if history is any guide. But there are reasons to be a touch more cautious.

Jonathan Levin

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On average, the US sharemarket has done very well in the final months of presidential election years, ostensibly because the veil of political uncertainty is lifted, giving way to a moment of Wall Street-wide Kumbaya.

Goldman Sachs’ Scott Rubner suggested last week that historical patterns might repeat themselves and the S&P 500 Index could increase another 7 per cent to end the year at around 6270.

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    Original URL: https://www.afr.com/markets/equity-markets/don-t-count-on-a-post-election-stocks-rally-just-yet-20241023-p5kks3