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Why the RBA’s rate decision will make inflation only worse

Economists say the Reserve Bank needs to take a tougher stance on inflation because the real interest rate is pushing house prices and equities to record levels.

Cecile Lefort

If you thought inflation was bad after last week’s red-hot report dashed hopes of an interest rate cut in Australia, a cohort of economists is warning that it will get much worse unless the central bank steps in.

That’s because the real interest rate – the Reserve Bank of Australia’s cash rate minus inflation – has slid to near zero and is quietly encouraging a borrowing spree that has pushed lending and house prices to record levels.

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Cécile Lefort is a markets reporter based in the Sydney newsroom. Cécile worked in New York and Hong Kong writing about global capital markets. Email Cecile at cecile.lefort@afr.com

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    Original URL: https://www.afr.com/markets/debt-markets/why-the-rba-s-rate-decision-will-only-make-inflation-worse-20251031-p5n6qr