The Last Say: Tips, inside mail, market movers for Saturday’s racing

Adam Dobbin provides all the information you need to back a winner ahead of a big Saturday of racing action around the country.

Exciting filly Tuileries, last seen when a heavily backed favourite in the 3YO Magic Millions Guineas in January, resumes at Rosehill Gardens today with punters right behind her to make a winning return.

The Peter Snowden-trained So You Think filly had to endure a wide barrier in her Magic Millions Guineas tilt where she ultimately finished seventh in the Gold Coast feature.

But with two trials under her belt, punters have rallied around Tuileries in race six, a benchmark 78 over 1200 metres, where she is even money despite drawing the extreme outside barrier.

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Finishing just behind Tuileries in the Magic Millions Guineas was stablemate King Of Roseau and he has been well supported to take out the final event on the card.

The three-year-old Capitalist gelding has had five starts since that Gold Coast appearance including a last start Rosehill success a month ago.

• BIG BETS:Key betting moves for Saturday

He’s since had a Randwick trial to bring him up to the mark for today’ assignment where punters have firmed him into $4.40 from his midweek quote of $6.50.

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TRACK CONDITIONS

ROSEHILL GARDENS
Weather: Mostly sunny day and a forecast top temperature of 17c.
Track: Soft (5).
Rail: True.

EAGLE FARM
Weather: Sunny with a forecast temperature of 21c.
Track: Soft (6).
Rail: 1m out.

FLEMINGTON
Weather: Fine with cloud cover with a forecast temperature of 13c.
Track: Soft (5).
Rail: Out 3m for the entire.

MORPHETTVILLE
Weather: Cool, overcast possible showers with forecast top temperature of 14c.
Track: Soft (6).
Rail: Out 3m from 1000m to winning post, true remainder.

• TIPS FROM THE BIG BOOKIES: The bagmen reveal the horses they fear most

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ROSEHILL GARDENS TIPS

BEST BET
Race 3 No.2 HIGHWAY STRIP: Been well supported and easy to understand why. He’s a progressive type that has established form in Highway grade and his trials have been very encouraging. From the good draw should be in the finish.

Four races down, four favourites home at @goulburnraces 💰

The raw Highway Strip gives @GoulburnTrainer and Nick Heywood a winning double after he knuckled down over the concluding stages. pic.twitter.com/aCRSDBJmZy

— SKY Racing (@SkyRacingAU) September 13, 2024

NEXT BEST
Race 5 No.10 AXIUS: Really attacked the line to win on the Kenso last time out with the runner-up on that occasion coming out and winning comfortably on Wednesday. Goes up in class here but will appreciate the rise in trip and just might have the most upside of this lot.

Axius is too good for them at Randwick, as he wins first up for @NockBraith and @cmaherracing! 🙌@aus_turf_club@Dynamic_WONITpic.twitter.com/cOyGJSZEPQ

— SKY Racing (@SkyRacingAU) June 25, 2025

• EXPERT TIPS:Clinton Payne’s Rosehill Saturday preview and tips

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EAGLE FARM TIPS

BEST BET
Race 3 No.7 MERCHANT FLYER: Fourth up today, with each run at the mile, and on the quick back up after running a cracking third to two smart ones last week. Had the best 600m and 200m sections out of that race. Looks ready to win.

A very tight finish to Race 3 at Doomben with Merchant Flyer JUST getting there under @mallyon_andrew for trainer Grant Allard 📸 pic.twitter.com/lxelCiwmNL

— SKY Racing (@SkyRacingAU) October 26, 2024

NEXT BEST
Race 6 No.3 APPIN GIRL: Ran a top third two starts back before not firing a shot last time out when well supported. Gets the blinkers on for the first time here and if that switches her on as connections hope she should take a power of beating at her pet 1000m distance.

Appin Girl returns with a win in the Sky Racing Hcp at Eagle Farm!@hoystedracing | @bozzathornton | @BrisRacingClubpic.twitter.com/RwqyWhlFN4

— SKY Racing (@SkyRacingAU) October 12, 2024

• EXPERT TIPS: Eagle Farm Saturday tips, analysis, featuring $6 best bet

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FLEMINGTON TIPS

BEST BET
Race 1 No.3 DUCHESS ZOU: Up to the 1400m after finishing third behind two smart types in stakes grade up the straight last time out. Small field suits, should get an economical run and hopefully get favourite backers off to a flyer.

Swift Circle & Duchess Zou settle down to fight it out in the straight, & the prior does enough to shed his maiden tag 💫@JohnnyA_24pic.twitter.com/uH7bFzdV1p

— Racing.com (@Racing) May 11, 2025

NEXT BEST
Race 4 No.3 OYSTER LANE: It was impossible to miss his debut Caulfield run when finishing second after seeing open spaces. Lot to like how he attacked the line and with that experience is capable of going one better. Looks to have a future.

Watch the Purple Cap! 🔥

It's a stunning late surge from Sonofkirk who comes from a long way back to slice through the frontrunners & nail his maiden victory 💪@[e-mail]/tLlIZ1Ghrm

— Racing.com (@Racing) June 28, 2025

• EXPERT TIPS: Flemington Saturday tips, race-by-race analysis, featuring $5 best bet

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TOP JOCKEY / TRAINER STRIKE RATES FOR ROSEHILL GARDENS
26.4% – Race 8 No.7 DISNECK & Race 9 No.10 THUNDERLIPS (Ashley Morgan/Bjorn Baker)
20.1% – Race 9 No.1 ROBUSTO (Josh Parr/Bjorn Baker)
19.6% – Race 7 No.10 FIOPROSPERO (Ashley Morgan/Matthew Smith)
17.7% – Race 7 No.7 ASSAILANT & Race 9 No.5 BASES LOADED (Regan Bayliss/Gai Waterhouse-Adrian Bott)
17.1% – Race 8 No.2 WITH YOUR BLESSING (Alysha Collett/John Thompson)
16.6% – Race 5 No.3 WALKIN’TALKIN’ (Molly Bourke/Gary Portelli)

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RATINGS RULER

ROSEHILL GARDENS
Race 2 No.2 DENMAN STAR ($5.10)
Race 9 No.4 ACCREDITED ($4.60)

GOSFORD
Race 5 No.12 YOU’RE THE CHOICE ($4)
Race 2 No.1 LOISBURGH ($2.80)
Race 7 No.1 BOLD BIDDER ($2.25

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ROSEHILL GARDENS MARKET MOVERS
Race 1: No.2 PORTOFINO ($11 into $4.80) No. 6 ALPHARD ($15 into $7.50)
Race 2: No.2 DENMAN STAR ($7 into $4.80), No. 6 HARRY’S BAR ($5.50 into $3.10)
Race 3: No.2 HIGHWAY STRIP ($3.20 into $2.50), No. 9 PONY SOPRANO ($13 into $5)
Race 4: No.8 NARBOLD ($19 into $9.50)
Race 5: No.8 UNSTOPABULL ($12 into $6.50)
Race 6: No.1 DOLLAR MAGIC ($7 into $5.50)
Race 7: No.6 IMPUNITY ($21 into $9)
Race 8: No.12 SOUTH OF INDIA ($8.50 into $4.60)
Race 9: No.11 SALTCOATS ($18 into $7)
Race 10: No.4 KING OF ROSEAU ($6.50 into $4.40)

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BIG BETS

ROSEHILL GARDENS
Race 2 No.6 – Harry’s Bar – $4000 @ $3.40
Race 3 No.2 – Highway Strip – $5000 @ $2.50
Race 6 No.7 – Tuileries – $5000 @ $1.90
Race 6 No.7 – Tuileries – $9000 at $2
Race 9 No.1 – Robusto – $7500 at $3.70
Race 9 No.9 – Fortunate Kiss – $1500 @ $9
Race 10 No.4 – Bunker Hut – $6000 @ $3.80

EAGLE FARM
Race 2 No.2 – Berezka – $1000 @ $3.50
Race 4 No.9 – Chica Mojito – $1000 @ $2.90
Race 4 No.9 – Chica Mojito – $1000 @ $3
Race 8 No.1 – Lead Me On – $5000 @ $4.60
Race 8 No.2 – Benzou – $1100 @ $2.90

FLEMINGTON
Race 1 No.3 – Duchess Zou – $2400 @ $1.85
Race 1 No.3 – Duchess Zou – $3000 @ $1.90
Race 4 No.3 – Oyster Lane– $4000 @ $2.90
Race 5 No.2 – Pariah Pearl– $3500 @ $3.80
Race 6 No.8 – La Fracas– $4000 @ $2.30
Race 6 No.8 – La Fracas – $2000 @ $2.70
Race 7 No.4 – Bold Soul – $4000 @ $5
Race 8 No.7 – Sayedaty Sadaty– $2500 @ $4

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INTERSTATE MAIL (VIC/SA)
Flemington Race 5 No.7 SOUND IT OUT
Flemington Race 3 No.6 ALL BUSINESS
Flemington Race 6 No.11 DE BERGERAC
Morphettville Race 1 No.7 DELIGHTFUL SHECKY
Morphettville Race 5 No.5 ETHEREUM GIRL

PROVINCIAL MAIL (NSW)
Gosford Race 1 No.8 MOUNTAIN QUEEN
Gosford Race 5 No.12 YOU’RE THE CHOICE

Originally published as The Last Say: Tips, inside mail, market movers for Saturday’s racing