Question marks over West Coast’s premiership credentials after mid-season slump
HOPE, frustration and disappointment. That’s West Coast’s season in a nutshell. Everything was going well after Round 8 but three straight losses have raised plenty of questions.
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FACED with the devastating blow of losing its most important player for the season, innovative West Coast got proactive over summer and recruited two 34-year-olds.
The Eagles hoped the addition of Sam Mitchell and Drew Petrie would allow them to challenge for the flag even without star ruckman Nic Naitanui.
At 6-2 after Round 8, things were going well enough, but three consecutive losses leading into last weekend’s bye have suddenly raised all sorts of questions.
INJURED RUCKMAN: NIC NAT COULD MISS ENTIRE 2017
THE TACKLE: ROBBO’S LIKES AND DISLIKES FROM ROUND 12
BAROMETER: YOUR CLUB’S INJURY LIST
Having the oldest list in the competition is fine if you’re contending, but if West Coast is not a genuine flag hope, the state of its list becomes an issue.
The Eagles are playing fewer youngsters than at any stage of the club’s history, raising the possibility of a painful rebuild in the next few years.
Mitchell has been good and, while Petrie missed eight games with a broken hand, he showed enough in Round 11 against Gold Coast to suggest he could be a handy contributor in the run home.
Led by intercept-marking stars Jeremy McGovern and Elliot Yeo, the backline has generally been excellent, while the forwards have often made do with limited supply.
But the Eagles are too reliant on Josh Kennedy, Jack Darling and Mark LeCras for their goals and need a better spread, while their once-famed forward press has disappeared.
Clearances and contested ball have been problem areas, despite Mitchell’s inclusion, underlining the huge hole left by Naitanui.
The Eagles are yet to rule out Naitanui for the season, but he is not expected back.
The availability of ruckman Scott Lycett (shoulder) should give the Eagles better impetus out of the middle, and they dodged a bullet when a pop in Kennedy’s lower leg turned out to be a standard calf injury not the achilles problem they had feared.
The return of both will help, but coach Adam Simpson conceded there was some soul- searching to be done.
“We need to look at some of our method and how we go about it,” he said.
“Our inside- 50s have been down all year. We need to work on more supply and then keeping it in there, which is something that’s been lacking.”
With just four more road trips left in their last 11 games, there appears to be some hope for the Eagles.
But Hawthorn great Jason Dunstall said West Coast could be ruled out of the premiership race.
“What they’re having to do is rely on intercept football down back, but then to move it, their transition of the ball isn’t good enough to hit targets going forward,” he said.
“If you look at team statistics, they are average. And that’s exactly what they are — an average team. They’re not going to do any damage come the end of September.”
ROBBO SAYS
SEASON started with hope, frustration arrived and disappointment prevails. It’s an odd assessment because the Eagles are 6-5 and on the cusp of the eight.
Travel is tough on every team, more so for the non-Victorian clubs, and we mark the Eagles hard. But they help us mark them hard.
Beat North and Port away, but bow to Gold Coast and Essendon. We just don’t know what they’re going to offer and, if we think that, the players must think the same. Who are they?
SEASON SNAPSHOT
POSITION: 7th
WINS: 6
LOSSES: 5
PERCENTAGE: 101.4%
A CLOSER LOOK
THE STAR: JOSH KENNEDY
If Kennedy makes a swift return from injury he could still become just the second player in the past 50 years to win three consecutive Coleman Medals, joining Gary Ablett Sr.
SURPRISE PACKET: ELLIOT YEO
After a disappointing 2016, the powerful 23-year-old utility has rediscovered his 2015 form and more. Coming second in the AFL Coaches Association votes, Yeo has shone as a rebounding defender and in the midfield.
GONE BACKWARDS: MARK LECRAS
The veteran forward has kicked 17 goals from 10 games but has gone goalless from his past three matches, raising questions over his future. LeCras, 30, is coming out of contract and is due to become an unrestricted free agent.
TRADING PLACES
COMING?
The Eagles could try to lure Mitch McGovern back to his home state to join older brother Jeremy. At 22, McGovern would be the long-term successor to Coleman medallist Josh Kennedy. But West Coast may be forced into a bidding war with rivals Fremantle for his services.
GOING?
Jack Darling was linked to several Victorian clubs, notably Essendon, last year despite the Eagles denying he was on the trade table. He’s kicked 19 goals from 10 games this year but hasn’t been able to kick a bag while Josh Kennedy has been injured.
THE STORY SO FAR
R1: W43 North Melbourne
R2: W19 St Kilda
R3: L11 Richmond
R4: W26 Sydney
R5: L50 Hawthorn
R6: W41 Fremantle
R7: W10 Port Adelaide
R8: W8 Western Bulldogs
R9: L51 Essendon
R10: L8 GWS
THE RUN HOME
R13: Geelong S
R14: Melbourne S
R15: Western Bulldogs ES
R16: Port Adelaide S
R17: Fremantle S
R18: Collingwood ES
R19: Brisbane S
R20: St Kilda ES
R21: Carlton S
R22: GWS Spotless
R23: Adelaide S
FINALS ANALYSIS
Odds for eight: $1.60
Odds for flag: $21
Five losses in the first half of the season have all but killed West Coast’s top-four hopes. It’s now realistically about fighting for a spot in the bottom half of the eight. Consecutive home games, against Geelong and Melbourne, now provide a platform but the Eagles finish the regular season with flag fancies GWS and Adelaide.
THE STATS THAT MATTER
RAKING POINTS
Elliot Yeo 108
Luke Shuey 103
Josh J. Kennedy 98
Matt Priddis 97
Andrew Gaff 96
DISPOSALS
Andrew Gaff 30.9
Luke Shuey 28
Sam Mitchell 27.4
Matt Priddis 26
Elliot Yeo 25.1
KICK RATING
Josh J. Kennedy +9.1%
Tom Barrass +7.9%
Sharrod Wellingham +6.9%
Mark LeCras +6%
Chris Masten +4.9%
CONTESTED POSSESSIONS
Matt Priddis 12.3
Luke Shuey 10.7
Elliot Yeo 9.9
Sam Mitchell 9.7
Dom Sheed 8.8
UNCONTESTED POSSESSIONS
Andrew Gaff 24.4
Chris Masten 18.2
Sam Mitchell 18
Luke Shuey 17.8
Elliot Yeo 15.4
METRES GAINED
Elliot Yeo 487
Andrew Gaff 435
Lewis Jetta 396
Luke Shuey 358
Shannon Hurn 353
INTERCEPT POSSESSIONS
Elliot Yeo 8.5
Jeremy McGovern 8.2
Thomas Barrass 6.1
Sharrod Wellingham 6
Shannon Hurn 5.4
SCORE INVOLVEMENTS
Josh J. Kennedy 8.7
Andrew Gaff 6.6
Lewis Jetta 6.2
Josh Hill 6.1
Mark LeCras 6.1
GOALS
Josh J. Kennedy 34
Jack Darling 19
Mark LeCras 17
Josh Hill 14
Jamie Cripps 11
Originally published as Question marks over West Coast’s premiership credentials after mid-season slump