SuperCoach Plus Article: 11 secret stats to help your team in Round 5

Sidebottom’s fall. The breakevens you need to know. Max Gawn’s huge Hawks numbers. Here are 11 secrets stats to give you the edge in KFC SuperCoach in Round 5.

Everyone is looking for an edge in KFC SuperCoach.

SuperCoach Plus gives you just that.

The treasure trove of extra stats and features can help you make those all-important trade calls, especially after player prices start changing following their third game — for most of our players, that’s this weekend.

And you also get a bonus article of analysis each week — just like this!

Click here to find out more about SuperCoach Plus and read on for this week’s 11 secret stats.

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Bombers forward Alec Waterman has the lowest breakeven in KFC SuperCoach. Picture: Quinn Rooney/Getty Images

1.Bomber Alec Waterman’s -77 breakeven is the lowest in the competition going into Round 5. The mature-age SSP signing has posted scores of 81 and 56 in his first two matches and looks to have solid job security after coach Ben Rutten declared Waterman “really important” for the club’s forward line. The 24-year-old is projected to rise by more than $60k if he maintains his average and is the top downgrade option this week.

2. Some KFC SuperCoaches may look to trade Waterman in for young Swan Braeden Campbell, whose breakeven of 71 is greater than his average of 63. In fact, as of Tuesday afternoon, 2602 have made the move. But a score of 64 on Saturday, while he will lose a few thousand dollars off his price tag, will bring his Round 6 breakeven down to 34, given the 29-point score from Round 3 will no longer be in his three-round rolling average. So he might still have some cash in him yet.

3. Port Adelaide draftee Lachie Jones tallied eight intercept possessions on debut against the Tigers – the second-most for the Power. The strongly-built 19-year-old finished with 61 KFC SuperCoach points and a similar score against the Blues this week will result in a Round 6 breakeven of -40. Keep him in mind when you’re trading this round.

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Andrew Brayshaw has been well held over the past two weeks. Picture: Quinn Rooney/Getty Images

4. At the other end of the scale, Andrew Brayshaw’s price is in freefall, despite his two big KFC SuperCoach tons to start the year. After scoring 125 and 132 in the opening two rounds, the young Docker has received some heavy opposition attention in the past two matches, finishing with 66 against the Blues and 48 in Round 5 after being shut down by Hawk James Worpel. Brayshaw’s price fell by $32k as a result and, with a huge Round 6 breakeven of 186 – the fifth-highest in the competition – it’s set to take another big hit. But after averaging 101 last season and his blistering start to the year, if he can start to show he can push through a tag, Brayshaw could be great buying at less than $500k very soon.

5. Sitting just below Brayshaw on the SC Plus list of highest breakevens is Collingwood’s Steele Sidebottom. To hold his price, the 30-year-old needs to reach 181 in Round 6. And that’s unlikely given his scores of 51 and 79 in the past two matches. Sidebottom had plenty of the ball in those two games, too, finishing with disposal tallies of 30 and 28. But he struggled with efficiency, especially by foot, hitting the target with just 14 of his 34 kicks. Sidebottom is also at the top of the ‘gone cold’ list with his $56k price drop the biggest of any player in Round 4. With Taylor Adams out, watch Sidebottom’s role – and ball use – closely this week because he could be great buying at less than $500k in a shallow forward pool if he can turn it around.

If he can turn it around, Steele Sidebottom looms as a KFC SuperCoach bargain. Picture: Darrian Traynor/Getty Images

6. It could turn around right away, too, with Sidebottom’s three-round average of 130 at Optus Stadium the highest of any player at their respective venues in Round 6. In his past four trips to Perth, he’s enjoyed the wide expanses and posted scores of 141, 119, 129 and 109.

7. Jake Lloyd’s price is also one to watch, if you started without the star Swan. Lloyd is averaging 14 points less than his 2021 starting price suggests and, after a second sub-100 scores in the first four rounds against the Bombers, he’s on track to fall below $600k. Even if Lloyd were to just reach three figures in the next two matches, he could be available for $570k ahead of Round 8.

8. Speaking of falling prices, more than 10,000 KFC SuperCoaches have traded out Bulldogs defender Caleb Daniel after his 19-point score and one-game suspension. Jordan Ridley is the most-popular replacement, with the Daniel to Ridley trade executed by more than 1900 teams at the time of writing, followed by Hawk Changkuoth Jiath and Gold Coast’s Jack Bowes.

9. Ridley has taken 84 per cent of Essendon’s kick-ins this year – the highest percentage in the competition. He might not just be the man to catch in defence, either with the reigning Bombers best-and-fairest four points clear in the overall KFC SuperCoach standings.

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Max Gawn has never scored less than 100 against the Hawks. Picture: David Crosling

10. Max Gawn has great scoring history against most teams but no player in the game averages more in the past three matches against this week’s opponent. Thanks, largely, to a season-high 22 disposals and 185 points in Round 7 last year, Gawn boasts a three-round average of 137 against the Hawks. In fact, the scoring line in his six career games against Hawthorn reads: 185, 127, 112, 116, 168, 118.

11. Giant Josh Kelly has failed to reach three figures in three of his four matches this year after attending just 22 centre bounces and playing 57 per cent of game-time forward. And 22 KFC SuperCoaches have had enough, trading him to St Kilda’s Jack Steele. Another 14 have moved him on for Jiath in defence.