Supercoach Investor: Why you should start making plans to add fallen premium Elliot Yeo

West Coast star Elliot Yeo started the season as one of the top point of difference picks in SuperCoach midfields. Three rounds in, he’s on a downward trajectory. But the SuperCoach investor sees opportunity in his price fall.

Travis Boak’s return to midfield has resulted in a surge in his SuperCoach scoring. Picture: Tom Huntley.

Strap yourselves in.

It’s only early, but we’re in the throes of a raging bull SuperCoach market that has seen most coaches delivering staggering dividends in excess of 2,200 points per week.

To the analysts, it’s unprecedented.

Scoring was meant to be challenging, volatile and sometimes underwhelming in the early days. Wrong.

It’s time to take heed, reposition our sides and rectify any glaring errors we face on the verge of Round 4.

Elliot Yeo could be a prime trade target when his price bottoms out in a few weeks. Picture: Michael Dodge/Getty Images.

The Dusty Dilemma

The SuperCoach Investor’s decision to ‘short’ (sell) Dustin Martin ticked the boxes for many coaches last week and has all the hallmarks of a shrewd investment move.

It’s backfired for The Begala Brigade in the short-term with his replacement, Tom Rockliff, registering only 36 points following an inopportune concussion against his old side Brisbane.

Coaches — don’t despair — as the ‘long/short’ methodology had all the attributes of a sound decision.

He was scoring like a maniac. He granted us an immediate cash injection. He’s as tough as nails. Rocky will be back.

But what do we do with the falling star, Dustin Martin?

If you’re one of the 20 per cent of sides still holding the services of the Brownlow medallist, it’s time to cut ties. Immediately.

His one-week suspension is the catalyst and it’s time to rip-off the Band-Aid.

You can go up. You can do down. You can go forward. You can go back.

The world is your oyster, so trade wisely.

The SuperCoach Investor — despite the allure of Tom Liberatore, Dom Sheed and Brad Crouch — suggests careful manipulation of your side’s dual-position eligibility to acquire Lachie Whitfield ($570K, BE 60) or Travis Boak ($522K, BE 40).

The reason?

Both of these stars are entrenched at the pointy end of their positions, Whitefield sitting No. 2 in defence and Boak positioned as the No. 2 forward. There’s daylight between them and the next-best scoring candidate.

Lloyd, Whitfield. Dangerfield, Boak. That’s a SuperCoach combo made in heaven.

They’re still significantly underpriced, but won’t be for much longer, so focus your investment attention onto Lachie Whitfield before you consider a like-for-like midfield replacement.

There is one standout in the middle, Lachie Neale ($646K, BE 63), but outside of the little maestro you could throw a blanket over the remaining midfield stocks.

Whitfield and Boak are distinct “outliers”, so prioritise their acquisition at all costs.

The SuperCoach Investor says Lachie Whitfield should be in your defence ‘at all costs’. Picture: AAP Image/Dan Himbrechts.

The Libba Love is back

The numbers don’t lie.

He’s back in a big way.

Liberatore has always been the heart-and-soul of Whitten Oval, but when he plays, he enables the likes of Jack Macrae and Marcus Bontempelli to walk taller.

Given he now frequents almost a third of sides (36 per cent), it’s time to pay heed to his services.

If he continues his merry ways and scoring trajectory, it will spell significant downside for all non-owners.

He’ll trump all rookie options you’ve got at your disposal, but could — if the planets align — develop into a bona fide premium midfielder.

I’m ultimately ‘bearish’ on this forecast, but Libba, please prove me wrong!

It’s probably too early to consider punting the likes of Zak Butters, but Libba could serve as an almighty “downgrade” for Dustin Martin.

Both tatted up. Both scoring bad boys.

Only Patrick Dangerfield has more SuperCoach points in the forward line than Port Adelaide’s Travis Boak. Picture: Sarah Reed.

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Budgets, Forecasts & Arbitrage

It wouldn’t be a one-stop shop for investment advice without some reference to forecasts and SuperCoach budgeting.

We’re on the verge of Round 4, but it’s time to fire up the spreadsheets and build your pipeline for underpriced stars destined to join your side in the weeks preceding the byes.

SuperCoach is a trading race, so get the stars in and get them in fast.

Keep your eyes on the likes of Justin Westhoff (Breakeven 214), Stephen Coniglio (BE 182), Elliot Yeo (BE 160) and Rory Laird (BE 155) as prospective upgrades to your side when they finally turn the screws on their underwhelming scoring.

They’ll all do it. They’re seasoned scorers and previous SuperCoach kings.

So get ready to strike while the iron (and price) is hot.

For the SuperCoach Investor, I’m fixated on the slow-starting Elliot Yeo who has failed to trouble the scoreboard throughout rounds 1-3 (averaging 80), but has an unrivalled scoring capacity when he’s up and going.

It may be wishful thinking, but I’m hoping to swoop on his services when he eventually flicks the switch for a price well-below $500K.

Stay tuned for SuperCoach arbitrage.

Originally published as Supercoach Investor: Why you should start making plans to add fallen premium Elliot Yeo