New Hawk Scrimshaw might prove to be the best trade of entire period, while Hall needs license to thrill at North
AS the countdown to the AFL Trade Period deadline continues, The Phantom gives his verdict on all of the final moves. Hawthorn’s bargain buy and a speedster’s move to the Kangaroos headline the start of the penultimate day of trading.
- The Phantom’s Take: How do Hannebery, Setterfield and Tyson fit in?
- The Phantom’s Take: Can Lycett have impact as Ryder’s No. 2?
- AFL Trade Daily: All the latest news
- Polec: Wingard heartbroken by Port breakup
AS the countdown to the AFL Trade Period deadline continues, The Phantom gives his verdict on all of the final moves
Jack Scrimshaw
Gold Coast to Hawthorn
The deal: Scrimshaw and 2019 fourth-round pick for 2019 third-round pick
THE NUMBERS
2018 — Games: 0, SuperCoach average: —
Average 2017: 46
From pick No. 7 in the 2016 draft to, basically, a late third-round selection.
Going by the trade deal between the Hawks and Suns that’s the value of the highly talented left-footer.
But in a few years time, we could look back on this deal as the best trade of the entire period.
While Scrimshaw, who never really settled on the Gold Coast despite signing an early contract extension, has only played four senior games, the 20-year-old has star potential written all over him.
In 2018, the rebounding defender failed to make a senior appearances and played just seven games in the NEAFL after breaking his cheekbone and suffering concussion late in the year.
When he’s ready, expect Alastair Clarkson to deploy Scrimshaw at half-back and utilise his damaging left-foot and intercept ability.
But, in time, he has the qualities to turn himself into a Marcus Bontempelli-like midfielder.
Well played, Hawks.
THE BIG QUESTION
How quickly can he come on at the Hawks?
ESTIMATED SUPERCOACH 2019 PRICE
$180,000
THE PHANTOM’S EARLY VERDICT
A future SuperCoach star and likely 2019 cash cow if he can win a spot in the best 22 over the pre-season.
Aaron Hall
Gold Coast to North Melbourne
The deal: Hall for pick No. 68
THE NUMBERS
2018 — Games: 6, SuperCoach average: 80
Average 2014-2017: 59, 79, 95, 92
The 27-year-old’s offensive power has never been questioned.
It’s what he does without the ball that’s come under the spotlight and it’s the major reason Hall found himself in the reserves on a number of occasions in the past two seasons.
But, with a more sound defensive structure in place, does he have to worry about defending at the Kangaroos?
Of course he has to; team defence is part of the modern game but the playmaking midfielder might get more of a license to thrill at his new home.
And if he does, we could see a return to the form that saw he become a popular SuperCoach name in 2016 and 2017.
Hall started 2016 with a bang, polling three Brownlow Medal votes in each of the first three games after a blistering run of form.
The speedy midfielder averaged 36 disposals, seven marks, six inside 50s and 129 SuperCoach points in the opening three rounds.
He went on to average 5.3 inside 50s — the equal-second highest in the competition — and 19.7 uncontested possessions (equal 7th) per game.
While Hall still sat inside the top 10 for both statistics the following season, an inconsistent year saw his average fall from 95 to 92 in 2017.
Inconsistent is another tag Hall is yet to shake after posting scores of 76, 21, 84, 110, 137 and 50 in his six games in 2018 before suffering a season-ending pectoral injury in Round 12.
THE BIG QUESTION
Will he become more than just a ‘what if’?
ESTIMATED 2019 STARTING PRICE
$400,000
THE PHANTOM’S EARLY VERDICT
His best his brilliant but will his price be too awkward?
George Horlin-Smith
Geelong to Gold Coast
The deal: Horlin-Smith for pick No. 59.
THE NUMBERS
2018 — Games: 4, SuperCoach average: 62
Average 2014-2017: 67, 55, 43, 76
The Suns get another player who has struggled to cement a spot in a best 22 but shown he can be a solid contributor at AFL level.
There is no better example than Horlin-Smith’s first game for 2018.
The midfielder was very late replacement for forward Tom Hawkins, who pulled out during the warm up, against the Power in Round 5.
Horlin-Smith, who was preparing to watch the game from the stands only minutes before the first bounce, was the best man on the ground by the final siren.
The 26-year-old tallied 26 disposals, 14 contested possessions, eight tackles, two goals and 120 SuperCoach points in 73 per cent game time.
In his seven seasons at Geelong, Horlin-Smith played 51 games — 21 of them in 2014 — averaging 16 disposals, three tackles and three clearances in an injury-interrupted career.
Horlin-Smith’s move to the Gold Coast comes on the back of a brilliant VFL season, which saw him finish second in the J.J. Liston Trophy count — posting 15 votes in just 11 games — after averaging 26 disposals, nine handball-receives, and seven clearances per game.
THE BIG QUESTION
With a number of similar-type midfielders at the Suns, what role does he play?
ESTIMATED SUPERCOACH 2019 PRICE
$300,000
THE PHANTOM’S EARLY VERDICT
Looming as a tempting mid-price stepping stone if he’s in Suns’ starting midfield.
Tom Scully
GWS to Hawthorn
The deal: Scully for 2019 fourth-round pick.
THE NUMBERS
2018 - Games: 1, SuperCoach average: 19
Average 2014-2017: 79, 84, 97, 88
The former No. 1 draft pick makes his way to Hawthorn for a future fourth-round selection.
Yes, it’s an interesting one.
And one the football world is still trying to get its head around.
At the peak of his powers, the running machine is a star, averaging 25 disposals, 16 uncontested possessions, five inside 50s and 97 SuperCoach points per game, while also booting 23 goals and assisting in 21 others, in a career-best year in 2016.
Scully finished second in the Giants’ best-and-fairest that year and was included in the All-Australian squad of 40.
The 27-year-old played every game in 2016 and 2017 but only managed a quarter of football in 2018 after suffering a horrific broken ankle against Collingwood in Round 2.
The Hawks are backing their medical team but, given he’s still more than a month away from jogging, just how quickly they can get Scully up-and-going remains to be seen.
And, when they do, will his running power ever be the same?
Did the Giants share this concern?
All these questions make it a hard move to judge at this stage.
THE BIG QUESTION
The one everyone wants to know; how is the ankle?
ESTIMATED SUPERCOACH 2019 PRICE
$430,000
THE PHANTOM’S EARLY VERDICT
It’s a NO from me given the questions marks and the fact Scully has never averaged more than 97. But, then again, the Hawks don’t get too many wrong.
Tyson Stengle
Richmond to Adelaide
The deal: Stengle for pick No. 68 (on-traded from Gold Coast)
THE NUMBERS
2018 — Games: 0, SuperCoach average: —
Average 2017: 38
Stengle is another victim of Richmond’s plethora of small forwards, managing just two senior games in the past two seasons, despite impressive VFL form.
In 19 games in the reserves this season, the 20-year-old booted 33 goals — ranking him equal-seventh in the league — and averaged 12 disposals and four tackles per game.
Stengle, who was drafted from Woodville-West Torrens in the 2016 rookie draft after ranking elite in forward-50 groundball-gets and tackles, score assists and score involvements at Under 18 level, returns home to South Australia in hope of more opportunity at the Crows.
And, while the Crows might see Stengle as the long-term replacement for star Eddie Betts, the skilful goalkicker should see plenty of game time next year in an Adelaide forwardline that looked too tall and slow, at times, last season.
THE BIG QUESTION
Can he do enough for a regular spot?
ESTIMATED SUPERCOACH 2019 PRICE
$150,000
THE PHANTOM’S EARLY VERDICT
While his scoring ceiling may not be high, Stengle, who will have completed his third pre-season, will be at rookie-price and is a chance of early action in 2019.
Sam Lloyd
Richmond to Western Bulldogs
The deal: Lloyd for pick No. 64
THE NUMBERS
2018 — Games: 7, SuperCoach average: 79
Average 2014-2017: 61, 51, 70, 63
With the emergence of Daniel Rioli, Dan Butler, Jason Castagna and Jack Higgins over the past two years, the 28-year-old has struggled to find a spot in Richmond’s forward line since 2016.
In that season, Lloyd played 22 games — the only time he’s played more than 12 in his five-year career — and booted 35 goals to rank second on the club’s goalkicking list behind only Jack Riewoldt.
Lloyd laid more forward-50 tackles than any other Tiger and ranked second for marks inside 50.
But he’s only played 15 games since.
Seven of them came in 2018 and he scored more than 90 points in three of them.
While Lloyd was great in the VFL this season, averaging 112 SuperCoach points per game, he’s been starved of senior opportunity at Punt Road.
A move to the Bulldogs is good for his career.
And it should be positive for his SuperCoach output, too.
The negative will be his awkward price.
THE BIG QUESTION
Can he do enough to justify his price tag?
ESTIMATED SUPERCOACH 2019 PRICE
$390,000
THE PHANTOM’S EARLY VERDICT
Lloyd should get more opportunity in the Bulldogs’ forward setup — maybe even in the midfield — but it won’t be enough to make him SuperCoach relevant in 2019.
Taylor Duryea
Hawthorn to Western Bulldogs
The deal: Duryea for a 2019 fourth-round pick.
THE NUMBERS
2018 - Games: 16, SuperCoach average: 63
Average 2014-2017: 62, 75, 70, 64
Lucky the neat-kicking left-footer doesn’t play cricket.
The skilful Duryea has six SuperCoach scores of 99 to his name but is yet to pass three figures in 108 home-and-away matches.
Although the two-time premiership Hawk will add valuable experience to the Bulldogs, he’s unlikely to add much from a SuperCoach point-of-view in 2019.
THE BIG QUESTION
Given he’s never averaged more than 18 disposals in any season, can he find more of the ball at his new home?
ESTIMATED SUPERCOACH 2019 PRICE
$340,000
THE PHANTOM’S EARLY VERDICT
Would need a dramatic role change to be considered.
Final word: How to deal with SuperCoach rookie blow
There was more KFC SuperCoach carnage at team selection this week. But there was some good news, too. The Phantom looks at all the Round 4 teams, how to deal with new rookie blow and all the weekend’s best captain options
SuperCoach: Simpkin, Petracca or Smith – who do you take?
Jy Simpkin, Bailey Smith and Christian Petracca all present tremendous value in the KFC SuperCoach forward line ahead of Round 4. But, if you’re trading Josh Dunkley or cashing out on Lachie Whitfield, which one do you choose?