RBA governor Michele Bullock says record interest rate rise decision was not a mistake, warns of ‘persistent’ inflation

Michele Bullock has defended a contentious move to lift interest rates as she made a stark warning of what’s to come.

Reserve Bank of Australia boss Michele Bullock has defended the central bank’s decision to lift interest rates to their highest levels since 2011, while offering a cautious outlook for mortgage holders warning that inflation still remained “persistent”.

Ms Bullock appeared at a Senate Estimates hearing on Thursday, telling Senators that the move to lift interest rates for the 13th consecutive time in November was the right decision under the economic climate.

“It wasn’t a mistake to raise interest rates at that point. We were acting on information we had available, and that was an appropriate response,” she said.

Australian homeowners were hit with major pain after the bank lifted interest rates to 4.35 per cent in early November, piling on an extra $76 per month for families with a $500,000 mortgage.

The bank kept the cash rate steady at its first board meeting of 2024.

Ms Bullock has not ruled out further rate rises this year. Picture: NCA NewsWire / Martin Ollman

In its revised inflation forecast released last week, the RBA indicated that inflation could drop to 3.3 per cent by June 2024, lower than the predicted 3.9 per cent.

Ms Bullock welcomed a global decrease in inflation, but warned that services inflation in Australia remained “elevated.”

“Our view, and it’s reflected in our forecasts, is that inflation is being persistent. But we are seeing it come down and back in the band in 2025,” she said.

Ms Bullock said aggregate demand was still above aggregate supply.

“We need to make a distinction here between levels of demand and growth rates of demand,” she said.

“So yes, growth rates are slowing, but aggregate demand is still above aggregate supply, and that’s what’s generating inflationary pressures.”

Some economists expect interest rates to move higher this year. Picture: NCA Newswire/ Gaye Gerard

Treasury official Steven Kennedy told Senators on Tuesday that inflation was on track to fall to 2.75 per cent next year, with “no evidence of a wage-price spiral” and “no evidence of a change in inflation expectations.”

Ms Bullock indicated that the central bank thought Australia’s economy was headed in a good direction.

“We think we’re in a good position to get inflation down in a reasonable amount of time while still keeping employment growing,” she said.

It came after new data on Tuesday revealed that the country’s unemployment rate jumped to 4.1 per cent in January, the highest in two years.

Originally published as RBA governor Michele Bullock says record interest rate rise decision was not a mistake, warns of ‘persistent’ inflation